• 1:大智慧封面
  • 2:大智慧股文观止
  • 3:大智慧消息树
  • 4:大智慧机构股票池
  • 5:大智慧大鳄猎物
  • 6:个股点评
  • 7:个股点评
  • 8:大智慧基金
  •  
      2009 10 18
    前一天  后一天  
    按日期查找
    4版:大智慧机构股票池
    上一版  下一版  
    pdf
     
     
     
      | 4版:大智慧机构股票池
    机构股票池·中线成长股
    大单投注站·短线热门股
    证券通:研究显示一致预期大幅调高品种追踪
    朝阳永续:研究显示目标涨幅巨大品种追踪
    更多新闻请登陆中国证券网〉〉〉
     
     
    上海证券报网络版郑重声明
       经上海证券报社授权,中国证券网独家全权代理《上海证券报》信息登载业务。本页内容未经书面授权许可,不得转载、复制或在非中国证券网所属服务器建立镜像。欲咨询授权事宜请与中国证券网联系 (400-820-0277) 。

     
    标题: 作者: 正文: 起始时间: 截止时间:
      本版导航 | 版面导航 | 标题导航 收藏 | 打印 | 推荐  
    机构股票池·中线成长股
    2009年10月18日      来源:上海证券报      作者:

                公司是上海房地产开发十大著企业之一,南汇并入浦东新区、崇明岛隧道月底通车及未来的迪斯尼落户上海等均对其构成主题催化剂。房地产开工及销售数据显示行业景气向好,支持该股业绩估值,走势正酝酿突破60日均线压制,可跟进。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             公司是中国和亚洲最大的多功能综合型建设集团。公司作为中国铁路建设市场最大的承包商, 参与过中国所有主要铁路的建设,新建,扩建及改建的铁路总里程超过50000 公里,并在中国重载铁路,高速铁路及铁路提速建设市场也处于主导地位。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                双良股份(600481)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     联创光电(600363)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            

                     公司目前正迅速扩大空冷器市场占比,预计未来三年其将占有空冷器市场20%份额。公司还在节能设备方面渐成规模,工业余热利用和海水淡化是主题亮点。近日该股创新高后震荡加大,季报增长成支撑点,可在上升通道震荡过程中吸纳。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     公司实行一主三支撑的产业发展战略,坚持以LED产业为主,积极推进继电器、线缆、通信三个支撑产业迅速发展。公司是国家火炬计划重点高新技术企业,此外,公司还是半导体照明工程全国五大产业基地之一,随着扩大内需十项措施实施,未来将进入高速发展的快车道。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                益民商业(600824)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             金发科技(600143)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

                     上海国资整合政策已定,公司同一大股东旗下的商业资产在未来有预期注入,三季报公布业绩增长稳定,未来世博商机更有提升业绩看点。半年报显示介入基金减仓但股价未跌,新增资金潜力值得关注,走势中期稳健向上,可在短调时低吸参与。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            公司是全球改性塑料行业产品覆盖种类最为齐全的企业之一,也是目前国内规模最大、产品最齐全的改性塑料生产企业,主导产品市场占有率稳居国内市场前列,竞争优势明显。值得一提的是,公司的科研实力强大,为产品质量的稳定和提升提供了可靠的保障。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     

                公司经营状况逐步回升,其中投资的华西证券主业表现突出,给公司带来了丰厚的投资收益,净利润同比实现增长,禁酒令影响逐步淡去,而公司高端白酒1573预计提价空间在30元,这些因素都将会推动公司投资价值进一步显现,维持强烈推荐评级。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    公司在建筑施工行业取得公路施工总承包一级资质,重点工程有南坪快速路、中心书城、荔景南路、招商桃花园、大工业区管委会综合楼等。该股近两个月围绕年线反复震荡蓄势,技术上调整较为充分,建议逢盘中宽幅震荡时关注。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                国电南瑞(600406)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             锦州港(600190)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                目前公司2010年的动态市盈率为30倍左右,作为国内二次设备的龙头公司,公司具有较强的技术优势和市场优势,不断资产注入的预期,更使其作为未来智能电网领袖的行业地位凸显,看好公司发展,维持公司买入的投资评级。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        目前锦州港现已具备年可周转原油700万吨、成品油500万吨的能力。有良好的深水石化码头、功能完备的石化仓储罐区、强大的腹地石化市场以及丰富的土地资源,油品资产的蓬勃发展掀开了锦州港新篇章。近日该股技术指标重新走强,后市有超跌反弹的要求,建议关注。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                小商品城(600415)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             海油工程(600583)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

                公司在第三季度确认房地产利润的情况下,三季报业绩超市场预期10%,而小商品城今年二期一阶段的提价预期将会成为公司盈利增长的加速器和股价表现的催化剂,而公司房地产在四季度仍有1.8亿的利润入账,维持对公司的买入评级。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         公司是国内海洋石油工程行业的核心企业,市场占有率达到90%以上。公司是天津市新技术产业园区认证的高新技术企业,国家一级施工企业。今年8月下旬以来,该股开始反复震荡构筑阶段性底部,目前技术指标已基本调整到位,建议波段参与。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                点评:基金同益(164690) 的选股思路主要有两个,一是从市场趋势中抓住市场热点。今年以来一直保持着金融、地产、煤炭等行业的重点配置,同时阶段性参与了部分周期性行业如钢铁的交易性机会。二是对消费类等行业景气乐观的品种予以积极关注,主要增加了消费类如商业、白酒等行业的配置。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     点评:富国天瑞(161004)的选股思路主要是两个,一是密切关注与宏观经济关联度相对较高的周期性行业。二是密切关注市场调整期间,那些基本面尚佳但由于市场弱势而被错杀的超跌股,这样选股思路具有极强的趋势投资特征。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            

                就其重仓股来说,凯恩股份由于电解电容器纸被列入我国2008年加工贸易禁止类商品目录,限制主要竞争对手NKK以价格竞争优势占领市场,间接提升了公司的市场占有率,并扭转盈利能力下滑的趋势。此外,公司完成对凯恩电池收购,对其合并财务报表,对公司业绩提升也产生了较为积极作用,未来成长性较为乐观,可跟踪。而山西汾酒的基本面也相对乐观,主要是因为目前汾酒的口味已得到北方地区的居民普遍认同,市场销售区域的拓展成就了公司在近年来的高速成长,可跟踪。长江电力的优势则在于业绩的相对透明增长,与此同时,公司水电的高现金流优势也将赋予公司未来进一步的优质企业的股权投资能量,可跟踪。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             就其重仓股来说,横店东磁是全球磁性材料的龙头企业,去年底至今年年初。受金融危机影响较大,目前已有明显恢复,变频空调用电机磁瓦实现客户突破,另外募集资金项目电机机壳及电机定子销售回暖较快。与此同时,公司业务存在两个看点,锂离子电池正极材料磷酸铁锂和风力发电机用N44SH烧结钕铁硼磁瓦项目,未来有望成为新的利润增长点,可跟踪。而太极集团的优势则在于公司的主导产品增长势头强劲,同时拥有诸多土地资产以及优势企业的股权,一旦重估,目前的帐面市值将大大提升,可跟踪。对于贵州茅台来说,无疑是一个长期高成长的典范,一方面是由于茅台酒独特的不可复制优势所赋予的提价能力,另一方面则是由于产能的持续稳定拓展,未来业绩成长性乐观。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                点评:大成成长(160909)的选股思路是从经济增长的角度出发,选择符合经济发展主线的品种,如金融、地产、煤炭、钢铁、有色、化工、汽车、机械等行业类优势企业的业绩成长将打开股价的涨升空间。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         点评:工银价值(164801)坚持长期投资的理念,具有长期可持续增长能力的优质企业是投资和持有的重点,并且加大了受益较大的行业如证券保险股的配置力度。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                就其重仓股来说,海南椰岛的优势主要在于三点,一是公司是国内保健酒行业唯一上市公司,目前已形成以椰岛鹿龟酒为代表,包括椰岛海王酒、海口大曲、宝岛白、三椰春酒、川源酒等一系列具有巨大市场潜力的产品群;二是公司的乙醇业务,燃料乙醇项目的生产规模初步确定为10万吨。三是公司持有660.4万股三安光电,有望给公司业绩带来惊喜。而金地集团作为地产业的龙头,不仅可分享前三季度房地产的火爆景气,而且还由于其高端房产结构比例较重等优势,未来业绩成长性相对乐观。上海汽车的优势在于两点,一是自主品牌的汽车产品结构有了积极的变化,盈利能力随之提升。二是合资公司的股权投资回报也相对乐观,可跟踪。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 就其重仓股来说,长征电气目前进行产业结构调整,退出低端电气设备市场,进入风电市场,公司开发的国内首台2.5兆瓦直驱永磁风力发电机已于2009年6月23日正式并网发电,目前正积极推进批量生产的前期准备工作。公司未来将推进2.25兆瓦和3.3兆瓦风力发电设备的研发进度,未来有望成为公司的新的业绩增长点,建议投资者可跟踪。而上海家化的优势在于产品布局不仅仅符合消费者的习惯,尤其是近年来大力发展的中草药化妆品的产品战略取得了较大成功,未来业绩成长性相对乐观。而新华传媒通过区域平面广告代理资源整合、经营效率改善以及争取上海市政府的财税政策支持,未来业绩成长趋势依然可以期待。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                

    申银万国     中华企业(600675)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      中国中铁(601390)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     森洋投资
         策略:3000点左右多空分歧,短线震荡中线向好。在轻指数重个股思路下,操作上建议投资者关注业绩增长明确和有主题催化的品种,三季预增、低碳经济、世博及迪斯尼等题材均可积极把握。     策略:本周沪指已三次上冲3000点后回落,说明60日均线附近压力非常大,但在外围市向好和经济数据支持下,中长期向上趋势不变。关注三季度业绩增长较好的蓝筹股公司,注意控制仓位。
    证券通     泸州老窖(000568)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      深天健(000090)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         九鼎德盛
         策略:数据显示,国内外经济延续了三月份以来的复苏趋势,继续向好。随着经济指标逐步回复到历史均值,A股将至少经历连续四个季度的上升期。我们判断底部已现,四季度将震荡上行。     策略:经过周五盘中宽幅震荡,2937—2943点区域的缺口已完全得到回补,显示市场仍处在反弹途中运行。可密切关注量能和有效热点的配合情况。操作上应避免追涨,在控制仓位的前提下可适量博短差。
    基金同益     凯恩股份(002012)、山西汾酒(600809)、长江电力(600900)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 横店东磁(002056)、太极集团(600129)、贵州茅台(600519)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 富国天瑞
         策略:该基金认为市场仍会在确定的经济复苏现实中和流动性推升下继续保持强势,但市场经过大幅的上涨之后,估值水平已经不低了,部分行业已经出现泡沫了,企业盈利还有赖于进一步的验证。     策略:该基金认为,从中短期发展趋势看,股市反弹步伐有可能已超越经济复苏进程,因此他们认为,下半年一些长期持续稳定增长、且具有估值优势公司的表现有可能超越强周期类公司。
    大成成长     海南椰岛(600238)、金地集团(600383)、上海汽车(600104)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  长征电气(600112)、上海家化(600315)、新华传媒(600825)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                工银价值
         策略:该基金认为产业振兴计划和区域发展规划、房地产投资恢复性增长有效地改变了投资品的需求曲线,因此,未来的市场活跃度仍将提升,在操作中可以跟踪产业结构的积极变化选择强势股。     策略:该基金认为下半年市场会呈现冲高回落走势,故主要配置方向为涨幅不大具有明显估值优势的权重股,央企和存在较为明确业绩增长空间和核心竞争力的品牌消费企业,力争获得高回报。