关注资产置换改善盈利能力的公司
[] 2006-12-19 00:00

 

  □民生证券研究所 田东红

  

  对于进行了大量资产置换的上市公司,特别是置换的资产总量在上市公司总体资产中所占比重大的公司,其未来的投资机会值得重点关注。

  据wind数据统计,今年以来,上市公司进行资产置换的行为有80多起,共涉及上市公司78家,共涉及资产置换金额高达650亿元以上,涉及资产置入上市公司的基本以股权和实物资产为主,并有少量现金;而置出的资产中,除股权和实物资产外,还有不少的债权,这一过程 实际上也是上市公司的债权债务解决方案。这些方案中,除部分是为了剥离劣质资产而置入优质资产,还有一些是为了解决债权债务问题,另外还有部分纯粹就是为了把上市公司以外的优质资产装入上市公司,提升上市公司价值。

  从这些上市公司的盈利能力来看,三季度每股收益超过0.1元的仅18家,仅占总数的23%,而业绩亏损的上市公司有26家,占总数的1/3;从另一个角度看,这78家上市公司中,还有21家属于特别处理的ST公司。因此,在上市公司资产置换的目的中,被动进行置换,为了改变上市公司目前困境的不在少数,而真正优质上市公司进行锦上添花式的资产置换并不是很多。不过,无论那种目的,最终都会提高上市公司的质量,提升上市公司的价值。我们可以从置换的资产数量和质量对上市公司的相对影响中来挖掘一定的投资机会。

  统计显示,在这些上市公司的资产置换中,单个上市公司置换的金额都不小,交易金额超过亿元的共有55家,占总家数的70%以上,其中上海汽车的交易金额最高,高达214亿元,另外还有近10家上市公司的资产置换金额超过10亿元。但这些上市公司由于资产置换进行都在今年年内,且不少是在下半年才公布,加上由于在上市公司资产置换的目的中,不少是为了改变上市公司目前困境被动进行置换的,因此,这些进行资产置换的上市公司在年内的涨幅仅有30家超过了大盘,也正因此,为我们挖掘价值公司提供了机会。

  从相对数来看,资产置换金额超过上市公司资产总额30%的家数约占总家数的40%,其中有15家置换金额超过总资产的50%,6家的资产置换金额超过了总资产。从置换交易金额占所有者权益来看,仅有30家上市公司不超过40%,而交易金额超过三季度所有者权益的就有27家,说明资产置换的力度都很大,特别是相对于上市公司本身的资产水平来看。像这些资产置换的比例相对较大的公司,一般来说,公司的质地已经发生了根本的改变,我们已经不能再用原来的眼光看待,更多地要关注新置入资产的盈利情况来寻找机会。

  年内进行资产置换的上市公司情况一览表

代码         名称        关联关系                 交易对象公司名称                                            交易金额            支付方式         置换金额占资产    置换金额占权益

                                                                                                             (万元)                                                    

600104.SH    上海汽车    控股股东                 上海汽车集团股份有限公司                                    2140318.90         实物资产,股权    138.58%         182.82%

600010.SH    包钢股份    控股股东                 包头钢铁(集团)有限责任公司                                 697518.31         股权,现金        52.05%            91.23%

600585.SH    海螺水泥    潜在股东、控股股东        安徽海螺创业投资有限责任公司、                             413303.08         股权             19.32%            64.08%

                                                 安徽海螺集团有限责任公司                                                                                            

600208.SH    中宝股份    控股股东                 浙江新湖集团股份有限公司                                    385200.00         股权             155.85%         636.81%

000630.SZ    铜都铜业    控股股东                 铜陵有色金属(集团)公司                                    383667.55         股权,现金        37.93%            98.84%

600649.SH    原水股份    同一控股公司             上海水务资产经营发展有限公司                                350948.12         实物资产,股权    50.18%            55.27%

600053.SH    SST江纸     控股股东、同一控股公司    江西江中制药(集团)有限责任公司、江中制药厂                 172461.02         实物资产,股权    1227.06%          

600839.SH    四川长虹    控股股东                 四川长虹电子集团有限公司                                    157713.10         实物资产,负债    9.76%             17.77%

000572.SZ    金盘股份    同一控股公司             海南汽车有限公司                                            139120.00         股权,现金        142.11%         368.54%

000520.SZ    长航凤凰    潜在股东                 中国长江航运(集团)总公司                                 130014.89         实物资产,负债    39.28%            102.33%

600690.SH    青岛海尔    控股股东                 海尔集团公司                                                70597.03            股权             9.94%             12.28%

000655.SZ    *ST金岭     潜在股东                 山东金岭铁矿                                                67780.63            实物资产,股权    90.79%            218.83%

600825.SH    新华传媒    潜在股东                 上海新华发行集团有限公司                                    64874.55            实物资产,股权    32.52%            75.10%

600212.SH    江泉实业    同一控股公司             山东华盛江泉热电有限公司                                    61675.84            实物资产         28.00%            45.48%

600198.SH    大唐电信    控股股东                 大唐电信科技产业集团                                        60000.00            现金,债权        13.74%            56.05%

000950.SZ    ST建峰     控股股东、潜在股东        中国核工业建峰化工总厂、                                    59253.90            股权             57.79%            242.76%

                                                 重庆智全实业有限责任公司                                                                                            

000498.SZ    丹东化纤    控股股东                 丹东化学纤维(集团)有限责任公司                             59074.72            债权             30.56%            155.85%

600108.SH    亚盛集团    控股股东                 甘肃亚盛盐化工业集团有限责任公司                            58809.34            实物资产,股权    18.60%            37.10%

000951.SZ    中国重汽    控股股东                 中国重型汽车集团有限公司                                    55000.00            实物资产,股权    7.76%             43.36%

600246.SH    先锋股份    控股股东                 北京万通星河实业有限公司                                    55000.00            股权             27.79%            143.41%

000544.SZ    S白鸽     潜在股东                 郑州市污水净化有限公司                                     50842.04            实物资产,负债    57.01%            150.78%

600162.SH    香江控股    控股股东                 南方香江集团有限公司                                        50811.79            股权             16.19%            65.94%

000507.SZ    S粤富华     潜在股东                 珠海市人民政府国有资产                                     48976.85            股权,债权        37.01%            46.06%

                                                 监督管理委员会                                                                                                        

600582.SH    S天地     控股股东                 煤炭科学研究总院                                            45452.00            股权             22.54%            62.24%

600576.SH    S*ST庆丰    潜在股东                 万好万家集团有限公司                                        43803.86            实物资产,股权    42.95%            104.16%

000887.SZ    SST飞彩     同一控股公司             安徽宁国中鼎密封件有限公司                                 41186.95            实物资产,负债    83.60%            133.35%

000780.SZ    *ST兴发     控股股东                 内蒙古平庄煤业(集团)有限责任公司                            40718.61            现金             18.50%             

000511.SZ    银基发展    同一控股公司             沈阳世纪物业投资有限公司                                    40080.82            股权             14.43%            33.12%

000722.SZ    金果实业    控股股东                 湖南湘投控股集团有限公司                                    36829.87            股权,现金        16.66%            42.71%

000838.SZ    S蓝石化     潜在股东                 北京融达投资有限公司                                        33066.72            现金             253.99%         364.84%

600248.SH    S*ST秦丰    控股股东                 陕西省种业集团有限责任公司                                 32814.20            实物资产,负债    54.04%            466.24%

600864.SH    岁宝热电    控股股东                 哈尔滨投资集团有限责任公司                                 28656.16            股权,债权        26.39%            72.26%

000723.SZ    S天宇     控股股东                 美锦能源集团有限公司                                        27642.58            实物资产,负债    37.44%            94.33%

600758.SH    SST金帝     控股股东                 沈阳煤业(集团)有限责任公司                                 27298.67            实物资产,负债    35.37%            231.34%

600136.SH    *ST道博     控股股东                 武汉市夏天科教发展有限公司、                                25583.45            股权,债权        61.78%             

                                                 武汉洪山新星商贸有限公司                                                                                            

600386.SH    北京巴士    控股股东                 北京公共交通控股(集团)有限公司                             24975.34            实物资产,负债    5.79%             34.82%

600086.SH    东方金钰    控股股东                 云南兴龙实业有限公司                                        24583.68            实物资产,股权    36.14%            76.57%

600107.SH    S美尔雅     控股股东                 湖北美尔雅集团有限公司                                     24454.25            现金,债权        28.40%            64.69%

600290.SH    S苏福马     潜在股东                 华仪电器集团有限公司                                        22276.11            实物资产,负债    39.61%            108.71%

000691.SZ    ST寰岛     同一控股公司             中国网络投资控股有限公司                                    20504.46            股权,债权        27.29%            46.72%

600192.SH    长城电工    控股股东                 甘肃长城电工集团有限责任公司                                20071.79            实物资产,负债    8.50%             17.97%

000555.SZ    ST太光     潜在股东                 深圳市纳伟仕投资有限公司                                    18050.40            股权             314.26%          

600084.SH    新天国际    控股股东                 新天国际经济技术合作                                        16845.24            现金             4.96%             97.38%

                                                 (集团)有限公司                                                                                                    

600727.SH    鲁北化工    控股股东                 山东鲁北企业集团总公司                                     15980.48            现金,其他资产    5.46%             7.38%

000806.SZ    银河科技    控股股东                 广西银河集团有限公司                                        15943.69            股权             4.67%             12.47%

000065.SZ    北方国际    控股股东                 中国万宝工程公司                                            15731.82            实物资产,股权    10.80%            34.86%

000885.SZ    S*ST春都    控股股东                 河南省建设投资总公司                                        15279.45            股权,负债        65.12%            527.49%

000818.SZ    锦化氯碱    同一控股公司             葫芦岛锦化聚氯乙烯有限公司                                 14824.73            现金,其他资产    4.03%             12.58%

000908.SZ    S天一科     控股股东                 平江县国有资产管理局                                        12293.29            股权,债权        15.44%            37.23%

600617.SH    S*ST联华    同一控股公司             青岛市胶州湾南方家园置业有限公司                            11575.81            实物资产,股权    34.43%            966.84%

  资产置换公司财务状况和市场表现

代码         名称        年初至今相对大盘区间涨跌幅(%)    三季度                                                                         所属行业                         总股本

                                                                                                                                                                            (股)

                                                            每股收益            净资产收益率(%)    总资产            股东权益                                                

                                                            (元)                                 (元)            (元)                                                

600104.SH    上海汽车    68.85                             0.25                7.05                 15,444,664,384    11,707,446,351     制造业-机械、设备、仪表         3,275,999,090

600010.SH    包钢股份    -52.66                             0.14                6.30                 13,399,935,186    7,645,408,108     制造业-金属、非金属             3,389,729,094

600585.SH    海螺水泥    111.75                             0.66                12.81                21,397,538,853    6,450,096,528     制造业-金属、非金属             1,255,680,000

600208.SH    中宝股份    242.21                             -0.04             -2.29                2,471,627,490     604,891,980         制造业-其他制造业                1,512,760,293

000630.SZ    铜都铜业    -27.26                             0.52                11.50                10,115,587,420    3,881,837,694     制造业-金属、非金属             864,362,109

600649.SH    原水股份    -66.95                             0.25                7.43                 6,993,891,285     6,349,700,250     电力、煤气及水的生产和供应业     1,884,395,014

600053.SH    SST江纸     39.85                             -0.12                               140,547,929     -123,104,816        制造业-造纸、印刷                161,070,000

600839.SH    四川长虹    -52.00                             0.12                2.49                 16,165,903,638    8,873,421,369     制造业-电子                     1,898,211,418

000572.SZ    金盘股份    -72.44                             0.28                16.05                978,930,866     377,494,607         综合类                         511,894,510

000520.SZ    长航凤凰    -0.84                             0.04                2.09                 3,310,022,385     1,270,602,393     制造业-石油、化学、塑胶、塑料    674,722,303

600690.SH    青岛海尔    4.80                             0.23                4.67                 7,099,641,138     5,747,595,820     制造业-机械、设备、仪表         1,196,472,423

000655.SZ    *ST金岭     1.15                             0.07                5.94                 746,579,443     309,734,568         制造业-金属、非金属             321,254,374

600825.SH    新华传媒    142.66                             -0.03             -0.83                1,994,981,585     863,877,566         批发和零售贸易                 262,628,232

600212.SH    江泉实业    0.82                             0.03                1.23                 2,202,532,390     1,355,982,322     制造业-金属、非金属             511,697,213

600198.SH    大唐电信    31.82                             0.06                2.58                 4,365,385,832     1,070,525,073     信息技术业                     438,986,400

000950.SZ    ST建峰     -31.35                             0.47                29.84                1,025,402,285     244,081,918         制造业-石油、化学、塑胶、塑料    155,000,000

000498.SZ    丹东化纤    -41.13                             -0.06             -5.67                1,933,281,624     379,038,247         制造业-石油、化学、塑胶、塑料    390,000,000

600108.SH    亚盛集团    54.99                             0.01                0.65                 3,161,250,318     1,585,021,614     农、林、牧、渔业                 1,441,190,556

000951.SZ    中国重汽    117.06                             0.55                13.88                7,088,537,620     1,268,483,304     制造业-机械、设备、仪表         322,635,000

600246.SH    先锋股份    272.84                             -0.10             -2.48                1,979,019,964     383,517,640         房地产业                         92,000,000

000544.SZ    S白鸽     -33.56                             0.03                2.05                 891,832,709     337,192,078         制造业-金属、非金属             269,459,799

600162.SH    香江控股    -8.30                             0.01                0.39                 3,137,752,575     770,587,563         制造业-机械、设备、仪表         386,186,400

000507.SZ    S粤富华     -37.15                             0.07                2.40                 1,323,293,471     1,063,349,230     综合类                         344,997,420

600582.SH    S天地     160.90                             0.50                13.93                2,016,234,389     730,271,546         制造业-机械、设备、仪表         202,800,000

600576.SH    S*ST庆丰    104.27                             -0.10             -4.66                1,019,936,591     420,555,341         制造业-纺织、服装、皮毛         194,093,090

000887.SZ    SST飞彩     41.61                             -0.07             -6.35                492,668,836     308,869,632         制造业-机械、设备、仪表         301,000,000

000780.SZ    *ST兴发     17.97                             -0.39                               2,200,540,577     -81,023,558         制造业-食品、饮料                614,306,324

000511.SZ    银基发展    -10.13                             0.12                3.34                 2,776,937,467     1,210,194,929     房地产业                         337,670,179

000722.SZ    金果实业    -70.56                             -0.15             -4.77                2,210,267,912     862,410,352         综合类                         268,130,736

000838.SZ    S蓝石化     -10.86                             0.04                2.74                 130,188,533     90,633,367         制造业-机械、设备、仪表         65,119,860

600248.SH    S*ST秦丰    -97.97                             -0.31             -56.16             607,254,266     70,380,638         农、林、牧、渔业                 128,820,000

600864.SH    岁宝热电    35.86                             -0.17             -5.95                1,085,919,079     396,585,105         电力、煤气及水的生产和供应业     136,594,549

000723.SZ    S天宇     21.45                             0.13                6.13                 738,228,736     293,025,709         制造业-机械、设备、仪表         139,599,195

600758.SH    SST金帝     -34.73                             -0.02             -3.22                771,779,450     118,002,801         建筑业                         159,755,200

600136.SH    *ST道博     -93.81                             -0.23                               414,089,784     -9,744,927         综合类                         104,444,000

600386.SH    北京巴士    103.12                             -0.87             -49.15             4,312,057,538     717,226,587         交通运输、仓储业                 403,200,000

600086.SH    东方金钰    304.38                             0.01                0.98                 680,163,638     321,042,588         制造业-纺织、服装、皮毛         352,281,672

600107.SH    S美尔雅     -12.76                             0.00                0.26                 861,033,695     378,045,482         制造业-纺织、服装、皮毛         360,000,000

600290.SH    S苏福马     133.38                             0.03                2.46                 562,334,711     204,913,522         制造业-机械、设备、仪表         174,300,000

000691.SZ    ST寰岛     10.45                             -0.04             -2.60                751,450,331     438,836,951         综合类                         323,270,000

600192.SH    长城电工    -48.86                             0.05                1.45                 2,361,851,197     1,117,106,818     制造业-机械、设备、仪表         284,790,000

000555.SZ    ST太光     -36.57                             -0.65                               57,437,944        -109,788,144        信息技术业                     90,627,680

600084.SH    新天国际    149.25                             -0.35             -96.31             3,399,324,364     172,987,478         批发和零售贸易                 470,360,800

600727.SH    鲁北化工    -55.79                             0.02                0.36                 2,925,775,138     2,164,272,967     制造业-石油、化学、塑胶、塑料    350,986,607

000806.SZ    银河科技    -85.56                             0.00                0.19                 3,411,407,690     1,278,602,473     制造业-机械、设备、仪表         635,649,966

000065.SZ    北方国际    -111.38                            0.08                2.96                 1,456,210,613     451,315,399         建筑业                         162,437,120

000885.SZ    S*ST春都    -45.66                             -0.05             -30.28             234,618,078     28,966,314         制造业-食品、饮料                160,000,000

000818.SZ    锦化氯碱    -46.38                             0.05                1.45                 3,678,712,515     1,178,729,950     制造业-石油、化学、塑胶、塑料    340,000,000

000908.SZ    S天一科     98.58                             0.01                0.61                 796,439,565     330,209,289         制造业-机械、设备、仪表         280,000,000

600617.SH    S*ST联华    -48.75                             -0.02             -33.66             336,255,264     11,972,877         制造业-石油、化学、塑胶、塑料    167,194,800

  (数据来源:wind数据,民生证券研究所整理)

 
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上海证券报网络版郑重声明

经上海证券报社授权,中国证券网独家全权代理《上海证券报》信息登载业务。本页内容未经书面授权许可,不得转载、复制或在非中国证券网所属服务器建立镜像。欲咨询授权事宜请与中国证券网联系 (8621-38967758、fanwg@cnstock.com ) 。