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  • A1:市 场
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  • C1:理财
  • C2:谈股论金
  • C3:个股查参厅
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  • D1:披 露
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  •  
      2007 年 7 月 19 日
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      | C5版:应时数据
    银行板块喜添新丁 参股概念或迎契机
    更多新闻请登陆中国证券网〉〉〉
     
     
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    银行板块喜添新丁 参股概念或迎契机
    2007年07月19日      来源:上海证券报      作者:
      ⊙华泰证券 唐潇武

      

      今日银行板块迎来盛事,宁波银行、南京银行两家城商行齐齐亮相A股市场。加上之前上市的10只银行股,目前A股上市银行的数量扩至12只。由于多家银行正在积极准备上市或者回归,银行板块的队伍还会壮大。银行股影响将日增,其走势不仅直接左右大盘的升跌,也牵动着众多参股银行的个股。

      近期大盘调整,银行板块整体比较抗跌,但走势上分化明显,这也相应地对参股上市银行的个股价值构成影响,特别是参股数量比较大的。“5·30”至昨日的区间涨跌统计显示,10只上市银行A股中,涨跌各半。兴业银行、招商银行、浦发银行涨势最佳,期间涨幅均在20%以上。而交通银行、中国银行则有超过10%的跌幅。

      整体来说,我国银行业面临着不错的经营环境。在人民币升值、流动性过剩前提下,储蓄持续增长和较大存贷差推动银行股利润快速增长,宏观经济的快速发展更使银行直接受益。今年上半年,我国银行业主要沿着汇率形成机制、货币紧缩、金融产品创新等三条主线展开,上市银行净利润仍将保持快速增长,全年增速将保持在35%左右。银行总的净利差处平稳态势,信贷成本降低将成为推动银行净利润增长的重要因素,开放、混业、创新推动银行中间业务快速增长。从PB 看我国银行的估值水平仍属合理范围,从动态PE看招商银行、民生银行、浦发银行、兴业银行等更具有优势,自然成为资金追逐的热点。中小银行由于良好的管理机制和业绩基数较小导致利润增长最快,所以下半年应当看好此类银行股。

      我们注意到近期中信银行、交通银行和华夏银行表现较差,主要原因是新上市的交通银行和中信银行开盘定价较高,出现价值回归走势,妨碍了其股票最近的上涨。华夏银行基本面在各家银行中不够理想,前期因收购题材炒作估值偏高,一旦大势不佳自然遭遇抛售,毕竟基本面决定了股票在调整时期的发展方向。

      近期跟随大盘调整,参股上市银行的个股普便呈现回调。特别是那些过度炒作参股概念、而主业表现不够优秀的个股,股价回落明显。不过,经过一番调整后,参股银行概念股股价逐渐向合理区间回归,再加上部分上市银行近期的强劲表现和良好盈利预期,我们认为那些参股银行数量大、对上市公司业绩构成实质性支撑的个股,仍然值得长期关注。而两大城商行的闪亮登场,或许能给调整中的参股银行板块带来一些契机。

      主要参股上市银行概念股近期表现及其他情况一览

    公司代码    公司简称    收盘价(元)    5·30以来涨跌幅(%)    每股净资产(元)    07一季每股收益(元)    06全年每股收益(元)    参股上市银行及近期市场表现                        

                                                                                                                             参股上市银行名称                收盘价(元)    5·30以来张跌幅(%)

    601318     中国平安    81.70         26.07                 11.970            0.539                 0.970                 中国银行股份有限公司            5.16         -11.84

    601628     中国人寿    49.20         23.41                 4.497             0.314                 0.340                                                                

    000876     新 希 望    15.00         -28.64                3.210             0.082                 0.330                 中国民生银行股份有限公司        12.54         9.4

    601628     中国人寿    49.20         23.41                 4.497             0.314                 0.340                                                                

    600811     东方集团    27.85         -16.16                3.780             0.036                 0.160                                                                

    600864     岁宝热电    30.60         -21.72                16.050            2.049                 0.010                                                                

    600741     巴士股份    9.19         -38.73                3.750             0.053                 0.180                                                                

    600408     安泰集团    11.67         -13.81                3.280             0.090                 0.380                                                                

    601628     中国人寿    49.20         23.41                 4.497             0.314                 0.340                 中国工商银行                    5.41         -2.84

    601628     中国人寿    49.20         23.41                 4.497             0.314                 0.340                                                                

    601318     中国平安    81.70         26.07                 11.970            0.539                 0.970                                                                

    600900     长江电力    16.02         8.44                 3.520             0.048                 0.442                                                                

    601318     中国平安    81.70         26.07                 11.970            0.539                 0.970                 招商银行股份有限公司            27.56         29.42

    600018     上港集团    7.89         -31.91                1.194             0.043                 0.141                                                                

    600641     万业企业    21.77         9.60                 4.710             0.057                 0.320                                                                

    000039     中集集团    25.90         -12.40                5.725             0.261                 1.250                                                                

    000402     金 融 街    31.67         6.85                 3.750             0.405                 0.490                                                                

    600663     陆 家 嘴    24.80         -21.84                3.750             0.087                 0.320                                                                

    600316     洪都航空    34.95         0.09                 5.939             -0.008                0.280                                                                

    600685     广船国际    49.85         25.28                 2.912             0.311                 0.590                                                                

    000036     华联控股    6.48         -44.94                1.680             0.012                 0.170                                                                

    000050     深天马A    9.86         -32.44                2.680             0.050                 0.280                                                                

    000032     深桑达A    8.10         -34.47                3.260             0.059                 0.210                                                                

    000025     特 力A    8.98         -45.31                0.613             -0.011                -0.418                                                                

    900949     东电B股    1.13         -19.78                3.393             0.048                 0.370                                                                

    000031     中粮地产    28.17         -4.18                 2.161             0.020                 0.250                                                                

    600056     中技贸易    11.17         -24.27                2.708             0.067                 0.302                                                                

    600802     福建水泥    7.33         -39.92                4.030             0.033                 0.041                 兴业银行股份有限公司            40.18         31.78

    600103     青山纸业    4.81         -48.61                1.551             0.008                 0.013                                                                

    000663     永安林业    8.38         -34.58                2.118             0.009                 -0.097                                                                

    600163     福建南纸    6.12         -39.17                4.520             0.007                 0.040                                                                

    000723     S 天 宇    9.77         0.00                 2.220             0.072                 0.130                                                                

    600592     龙溪股份    17.50         -19.24                4.480             0.156                 0.528                                                                

    000701     厦门信达    8.25         -37.26                2.300             0.036                 0.151                                                                

    600067     冠城大通    21.33         -12.44                1.770             0.059                 0.310                                                                

    900949     东电B股    1.13         -19.78                3.393             0.048                 0.370                                                                

    600436     片 仔 癀    34.62         -18.48                4.470             0.202                 0.585                                                                

    600291     西水股份    24.22         89.22                 15.370            -0.038                -0.770                                                                

    600388     龙净环保    16.71         -9.73                 5.290             0.091                 0.820                                                                

    000002     万 科A    23.47         20.54                 3.580             0.140                 0.493                 深圳发展银行股份有限公司        30.24         15.69

    601318     中国平安    81.70         26.07                 11.970            0.539                 0.970                 上海浦东发展银行股份有限公司    36.58         23.08

    600748     上实发展    27.49         9.30                 2.270             0.029                 0.230                                                                

    600832     东方明珠    15.00         -34.12                1.810             0.057                 0.208                                                                

    000777     中核科技    20.35         -18.70                1.862             0.022                 0.077                                                                

    600643     S 爱 建    17.50         -25.66                1.440             0.074                 0.034                                                                

    900929     锦旅B股    1.48         -9.95                 3.750             0.014                 0.175                                                                

    600822     上海物贸    10.41         -38.37                2.440             0.056                 0.275                                                                

    600611     大众交通    19.64         -28.94                3.699             0.065                 0.282                                                                

    600741     巴士股份    9.19         -38.73                3.750             0.053                 0.180                                                                

    600689     上海三毛    7.41         -33.66                1.055             -0.079                -0.582                                                                

    600679     金山开发    11.05         -36.42                1.462             -0.012                0.018                                                                

    600790     轻 纺 城    12.45         -30.60                1.930             0.035                 -0.200                                                                

    公司代码    公司简称    收盘价(元)    5·30以来涨跌幅(%)    每股净资产(元)    07一季每股收益(元)    06全年每股收益(元)    参股上市银行及近期市场表现                        

                                                                                                                             参股上市银行名称             收盘价(元)     5·30以来张跌幅(%)

    600884     杉杉股份    20.93         7.79                 3.580             0.059                 0.221                 宁波银行股份有限公司         发行价:9.2元        

    600177     雅 戈 尔    27.34         6.47                 4.506             0.509                 0.424                                                                    

    600366     宁波韵升    13.00         3.50                 2.045             0.033                 0.221                                                                    

    600683     银泰股份    7.76         -24.72                1.960             0.032                 0.135                                                                    

    600064     南京高科    29.82         -21.53                6.818             0.062                 0.295                 南京银行股份有限公司         发行价:11元        

    600500     中化国际    14.11         -31.21                2.490             0.113                 0.310                 交通银行股份有限公司         11.4             -15.87

    600606     金丰投资    9.72         -38.83                3.941             0.026                 0.316                                                                    

    000541     佛山照明    20.73         3.11                 7.060             0.346                 0.660                                                                    

    900929     锦旅B股    1.48         -9.95                 3.750             0.014                 0.175                                                                    

    600153     建发股份    20.40         4.55                 4.650             0.182                 0.700                                                                    

    000823     超声电子    8.08         -37.17                2.436             0.063                 0.227                                                                    

    600302     标准股份    9.63         -29.95                3.340             0.142                 0.316                                                                    

    600981     江苏开元    8.00         -30.68                2.600             0.044                 0.200                                                                    

    000756     新华制药    6.09         -45.33                2.980             0.021                 0.050                                                                    

    000548     湖南投资    17.31         -8.02                 2.420             0.343                 0.302                                                                    

    600018     上港集团    7.89         -31.91                1.194             0.043                 0.141                                                                    

    600029     南方航空    9.85         3.90                 2.250             -0.043                0.030                                                                    

    600630     龙头股份    6.34         -39.68                3.007             0.013                 0.058                                                                    

    000090     深 天 健    22.54         -5.50                 9.199             0.013                 0.368                                                                    

    600650     锦江投资    14.38         -23.84                2.860             0.129                 0.487                                                                    

    600663     陆 家 嘴    24.80         -21.84                3.750             0.087                 0.320                                                                    

    600768     宁波富邦    7.10         -43.20                1.260             0.006                 0.064                                                                    

    600900     长江电力    16.02         8.44                 3.520             0.048                 0.442                                                                    

    600216     浙江医药    7.62         -31.35                1.762             0.007                 0.135                                                                    

    600287     江苏舜天    9.53         -43.13                1.948             0.025                 0.073                                                                    

    000158     常山股份    7.30         -39.36                3.640             0.019                 0.120                                                                    

    000662     索 芙 特    10.98         -33.49                3.479             0.075                 0.331                                                                    

    000420     吉林化纤    7.55         -37.60                3.194             0.043                 0.056                                                                    

    600822     上海物贸    10.41         -38.37                2.440             0.056                 0.275                                                                    

    600329     中新药业    9.65         -27.88                3.530             0.069                 -1.020                                                                

    600835     上海机电    23.40         6.62                 4.290             0.105                 0.471                                                                    

    000513     丽珠集团    24.80         4.38                 4.980             0.425                 0.450                                                                    

    600380     健 康 元    15.61         -17.84                3.560             0.239                 -0.130                                                                

    600686     金龙汽车    22.60         -9.49                 4.510             0.172                 0.670                                                                    

    000418     小天鹅A    10.40         -19.33                3.330             0.042                 0.110                                                                    

    900949     东电B股    1.13         -19.78                3.393             0.048                 0.370                                                                    

    600483     福建南纺    5.50         -50.23                2.130             0.005                 0.034                                                                    

    600278     东方创业    9.81         -41.38                3.460             0.053                 0.170                                                                    

    600073     上海梅林    10.52         -25.00                2.528             0.002                 0.014                                                                    

    600654     飞乐股份    4.98         -47.36                1.640             0.015                 0.030                                                                    

    600679     金山开发    11.05         -36.42                1.462             -0.012                0.018                                                                    

    600755     厦门国贸    17.87         -28.69                2.730             0.174                 0.440                                                                    

    600757     *ST 源发    3.58         -47.28                0.460             -0.405                -1.240                                                                

    000538     云南白药    33.77         -11.34                2.330             0.149                 0.571                                                                    

    600855     航天长峰    10.50         -38.67                2.043             0.014                 0.075                                                                    

    600642     申能股份    14.26         -27.03                4.427             0.182                 0.627                                                                    

    000851     高鸿股份    8.82         -42.76                1.770             -0.019                0.030                                                                    

    600683     银泰股份    7.76         -24.72                1.960             0.032                 0.135                                                                    

      数据来源:聚源数据