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    51只QFII重仓股近期跑输大盘
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    51只QFII重仓股近期跑输大盘
    2007年08月16日      来源:上海证券报      作者:
      ⊙华泰证券 唐潇武

      

      根据中报披露,目前共有79只A股为QFII所重仓。与上证指数相比,这些个股7月份以来整体表现欠佳。

      7月市场从前期构筑完M型双头后,经过二周横向整理,反而在银行、地产、钢铁等基金重仓蓝筹股带动下迭创新高,作为市场一直重点关注的QFII持仓股,在这一轮上扬行情中表现分化,相当一部分跑输大盘。我们选择79家已公布中报中披露出来的QFII持仓股,统计其从7月初到昨日相对大盘区间表现,结果显示期间跑赢大盘的为28只,占比只有35%;而跑输大盘的则有51只,占比达到65%。QFII持仓最重的4只个股均跑输大盘,其中宇通客车相对大盘跌幅为28.6%。

      51只跑输大盘的QFII重仓股中不乏一些绩优白马股,这些个股业绩增长相对稳定,只是中报期间业绩增幅与某些行业公司相形逊色,因而短暂落后大盘,但其长期价值仍不容忽视。其他一些公司如江钻股份、湘邮科技、三普药业等中报业绩同比下降,且股票估值较高,因此虽然被部分QFII看中,但没有受到整体市场的认可。

      28只跑赢大盘的QFII持仓股中,表现最为耀眼的为金融股成都建投,该股自重大资产重组、注入券商资产以来,股价一路攀升,一度突破150元;近期受中报盈利同比巨幅增长刺激,又有连续拉升表现。目前中报已经披露的QFII重仓券商股还有海通证券,沪深证券市场持续热络,券商股已经成为中报业绩增长的排头兵,业绩同比增幅数字惊人,二级市场上也颇受机构追捧。数据显示,持仓的QFII二季度对海通证券、成都建投都有小幅加仓,表现出谨慎看多的态度。

      今年中报的一个新现象是高送转蔚然成风,并借势成为中报业绩浪中的明星品种,QFII亦能从中把握机会。如大幅超越大盘的成都建投,中期分配方案为“以总股本14199万股为基数,每10股转增10股”。山河智能中期“每10股派0.3元送2股转增8股”,其股价7月初以来相对大盘涨幅为21.7%。又如渔业类股好当家,近期明显强于大盘,与同行业的獐子岛走势也有明显差异,这或多或少也是得益于其中期“每10股派0.35元送3股转增3股”的高送转方案。

      我们看到目前披露的QFII持仓公司数较多的行业还有有色金属、化工、医药和机械设备行业。6只QFII持仓的有色金属股近期没有明显领先大盘的,这一定程度上受国际期货市场有色金属价格回落调整影响。但短期的表现不佳,并不改变这一行业公司的长期价值,事实上在世界经济快速增长环境下,金属铜、铝、锌、铅、镍、锡等金属价格持续大涨,有色金属类上市公司在产量增加和产品价格大涨双重推动下,业绩增长也保持了较好的持续性,QFII 持仓股中,焦作万方、吉恩镍业等中报业绩均是同比大增。基于对其基本面的看好,二季度,QFII对部分有色金属股也有程度不同的加仓。QFII投资的化工、医药行业个股绩优蓝筹品种不少,但成长性上缺乏亮点,因此股价表现也只是中规中矩。

      QFII重仓股(中报披露)相对大盘表现及其他情况一览

    代码     名称        QFII持股比例(今年中报)(%)    QFII持股数量                    相对大盘                             收盘价         每股收益                     每股收益(元)(今年         净资产收益率(%)(去年         净资产收益率(%)(今年         所属行业

                                                     (今年中报)(股)                 涨跌幅                             (元)            (元)(去年                     中报)                     年报)                         中报)                            

                                                                                     (7.2-8.10)                                         年报)                                                                                                                    

                                                                                     (%)                                                                                                                                                                            

    600206    有研硅股    1.38                         1,209,935                     -44.52                             29.12         0.12                         0.22                        2.67                         4.56                         电子元器件

    600066    宇通客车    13.13                        34,752,576                     -28.60                             26.93         0.55                         0.26                        17.70                         7.21                         交运设备

    600590    泰豪科技    2.22                         2,633,214                     -27.20                             18.50         0.31                         0.15                        7.42                         3.30                         信息设备

    600343    航天动力    0.90                         1,199,950                     -27.11                             14.20         0.11                         0.07                        4.41                         2.84                         机械设备

    002069    獐子岛     7.37                         2,086,345                     -26.76                             76.45         1.48                         0.60                        15.67                         6.44                         农林牧渔

    000852    江钻股份    6.19                         6,195,111                     -25.85                             25.91         0.61                         0.14                        20.08                         4.90                         机械设备

    002075    高新张铜    0.30                         545,288                         -23.11                             15.10         0.24                         0.08                        7.73                         4.73                         有色金属

    600390    金瑞科技    0.43                         399,949                         -22.69                             24.37         0.30                         0.16                        5.22                         4.06                         有色金属

    600476    湘邮科技    4.48                         3,563,362                     -22.41                             19.34         0.07                         0.05                        2.28                         1.76                         信息服务

    600004    白云机场    4.88                         24,253,834                     -22.35                             19.55         0.29                         0.19                        6.99                         4.42                         交通运输

    002052    同洲电子    4.66                         5,231,508                     -21.75                             20.91         0.54                         0.22                        10.52                         7.78                         家用电器

    600628    新世界     2.03                         8,109,999                     -19.24                             20.79         0.26                         0.14                        9.44                         4.74                         商业贸易

    000731    四川美丰    7.61                         12,774,561                     -19.15                             18.11         1.01                         0.41                        19.83                         10.25                         化工

    600660    福耀玻璃    2.59                         11,960,701                     -17.73                             33.49         0.61                         0.42                        21.50                         14.08                         交运设备

    600869    三普药业    6.16                         4,033,903                     -16.07                             18.29         0.05                         0.03                        3.81                         2.14                         医药生物

    000619    海螺型材    1.32                         3,258,350                     -16.02                             13.25         0.39                         0.21                        9.27                         4.75                         建筑建材

    000423    东阿阿胶    1.63                         6,549,857                     -15.90                             29.14         0.38                         0.16                        14.12                         6.97                         医药生物

    000651    格力电器    2.08                         10,511,280                     -15.14                             39.20         0.78                         0.60                        20.18                         13.03                         家用电器

    600096    云天化     1.66                         3,492,197                     -14.84                             27.58         1.09                         0.61                        20.93                         10.95                         化工

    000726    鲁泰A     1.97                         5,969,090                     -14.64                             18.39         0.79                         0.25                        17.14                         10.58                         纺织服装

    000417    合肥百货    0.87                         1,999,950                     -14.29                             10.31         0.21                         0.10                        7.38                         4.86                         商业贸易

    600510    黑牡丹     0.75                         1,899,966                     -14.03                             6.67            0.20                         0.08                        8.76                         3.49                         纺织服装

    600879    火箭股份    1.90                         6,990,622                     -13.31                             30.25         0.44                         0.21                        16.25                         4.82                         交运设备

    000059    辽通化工    1.90                         5,000,000                     -13.24                             11.65         0.13                         0.25                        4.94                         8.84                         化工

    600323    南海发展    2.80                         4,193,935                     -12.71                             14.00         0.41                         0.22                        10.30                         5.56                         公用事业

    600963    岳阳纸业    2.02                         3,459,586                     -12.20                             29.21         0.20                         0.08                        5.19                         1.15                         轻工制造

    600592    龙溪股份    7.67                         5,146,893                     -12.15                             20.64         0.53                         0.33                        12.53                         7.35                         机械设备

    000755    山西三维    2.47                         5,000,000                     -12.04                             29.87         0.43                         0.46                        9.98                         8.76                         化工

    600627    上电股份    6.64                         3,385,435                     -10.59                             28.05         1.06                         0.68                        28.71                         16.58                         机械设备

    000698    沈阳化工    1.47                         4,123,745                     -10.35                             13.21         0.20                         0.20                        6.09                         5.29                         化工

    000715    中兴商业    13.15                        12,656,424                     -10.01                             15.28         0.32                         0.16                        9.01                         5.56                         商业贸易

    600795    国电电力    0.56                         5,947,407                     -9.93                                15.42         0.41                         0.23                        10.70                         6.32                         公用事业

    600348    国阳新能    2.39                         4,783,101                     -8.43                                43.30         1.45                         0.56                        22.42                         8.68                         采掘

    600729    重庆百货    2.39                         3,127,991                     -8.18                                32.16         0.42                         0.29                        13.02                         8.33                         商业贸易

    000159    国际实业    0.78                         799,990                         -7.69                                15.51         0.01                         0.07                        0.25                         2.59                         采掘

    002092    中泰化学    2.04                         2,041,400                     -7.54                                24.08         0.53                         0.39                        10.42                         7.33                         化工

    600258    首旅股份    2.92                         2,658,534                     -7.41                                46.89         0.34                         0.27                        9.08                         6.97                         餐饮旅游

    600993    马应龙     10.01                        2,593,458                     -6.11                                67.36         1.40                         1.45                        11.89                         13.30                         医药生物

    600583    海油工程    2.10                         10,000,000                     -5.80                                44.04         0.94                         0.47                        24.81                         13.22                         建筑建材

    002070    众和股份    14.33                        4,642,069                     -5.72                                18.20         0.51                         0.17                        12.09                         4.88                         纺织服装

    代码     名称        QFII持股比例(今年中报)(%)    QFII持股数量                    相对大盘                             收盘价         每股收益                     每股收益(元)(今年         净资产收益率(%)(去年         净资产收益率(%)(今年         所属行业

                                                     (今年中报)(股)                 涨跌幅                             (元)            (元)(去年                     中报)                     年报)                         中报)                            

                                                                                     (7.2-8.10)                                         年报)                                                                                                                    

                                                                                     (%)                                                                                                                                                                            

    600438    通威股份    5.12                         15,819,372                     -5.63                                13.56         0.44                         0.08                        17.85                         6.15                         农林牧渔

    000617    石油济柴    4.25                         4,070,030                     -5.44                                37.80         0.49                         0.25                        20.51                         9.41                         机械设备

    600026    中海发展    3.49                         15,738,471                     -5.27                                28.08         0.83                         0.67                        22.15                         16.24                         交通运输

    000767    漳泽电力    7.14                         28,671,029                     -5.24                                12.65         0.32                         0.21                        16.45                         8.65                         公用事业

    600650    锦江投资    4.20                         7,130,926                     -4.92                                15.93         0.49                         0.30                        13.41                         10.84                         交通运输

    600837    海通证券    0.51                         600,000                         -4.59                                48.87         0.45                         0.60                        20.92                         30.55                         金融服务

    600497    驰宏锌锗    0.51                         960,910                         -3.27                                82.00         5.32                         1.70                        44.34                         27.61                         有色金属

    600488    天药股份    1.40                         4,039,491                     -3.26                                7.34            0.10                         0.03                        4.28                         1.26                         医药生物

    000042    深长城     5.35                         4,499,948                     -2.06                                33.82         0.32                         0.58                        4.84                         7.60                         房地产

    600432    吉恩镍业    1.07                         1,199,934                     -0.97                                62.21         1.13                         1.43                        26.72                         26.30                         有色金属

    600269    赣粤高速    1.61                         9,992,999                     -0.27                                17.38         0.71                         0.45                        15.27                         9.26                         交通运输

    000990    诚志股份    1.51                         2,599,029                     0.25                                 16.82         0.21                         0.06                        5.75                         1.76                         医药生物

    600352    浙江龙盛    2.47                         11,536,684                     0.83                                 13.83         0.35                         0.24                        17.20                         10.99                         化工

    600725    云维股份    7.66                         5,820,379                     1.05                                 28.31         0.39                         0.13                        12.76                         4.31                         化工

    000565    渝三峡A     4.36                         4,499,736                     1.12                                 16.96         0.04                         0.08                        1.72                         3.52                         化工

    600192    长城电工    7.31                         10,579,971                     1.31                                 16.29         0.10                         0.09                        2.92                         2.63                         机械设备

    002031    巨轮股份    5.84                         3,891,663                     2.10                                 17.05         0.36                         0.25                        12.37                         7.63                         机械设备

    000563    陕国投A     4.98                         8,499,999                     2.10                                 17.97         0.03                         0.08                        3.27                         6.54                         金融服务

    600549    厦门钨业    1.06                         2,479,851                     2.71                                 24.03         0.50                         0.15                        22.77                         4.69                         有色金属

    000012    南玻A     1.68                         6,494,133                     3.93                                 17.33         0.33                         0.15                        12.64                         6.35                         建筑建材

    601002    晋亿实业    8.11                         17,038,844                     4.26                                 12.00         0.17                         0.03                        11.95                         1.70                         机械设备

    600202    哈空调     0.88                         1,147,179                     5.31                                 19.42         0.43                         0.36                        22.12                         15.05                         机械设备

    600557    康缘药业    1.65                         1,654,205                     6.85                                 20.63         0.41                         0.23                        13.23                         7.23                         医药生物

    600997    开滦股份    1.70                         4,194,337                     8.31                                 29.87         0.81                         0.51                        18.09                         10.82                         采掘

    000612    焦作万方    8.47                         23,259,716                     9.51                                 36.94         0.57                         0.78                        26.35                         28.16                         有色金属

    600333    长春燃气    0.18                         397,386                         10.08                                8.06            0.14                         0.04                        5.96                         1.66                         公用事业

    600114    东睦股份    7.93                         8,534,178                     10.30                                8.72            0.01                         0.05                        0.28                         1.72                         机械设备

    600391    成发科技    0.78                         455,075                         11.58                                30.06         0.30                         0.27                        8.48                         7.29                         交运设备

    000826    合加资源    2.28                         2,038,797                     13.76                                21.00         0.25                         0.17                        13.27                         8.82                         公用事业

    002014    永新股份    2.08                         1,215,879                     14.41                                21.28         0.51                         0.25                        12.91                         7.02                         轻工制造

    600176    中国玻纤    6.21                         10,620,506                     16.87                                19.93         0.32                         0.21                        16.16                         9.87                         化工

    600082    海泰发展    3.74                         7,194,569                     17.76                                18.98         0.21                         0.09                        10.19                         4.18                         房地产

    002033    丽江旅游    1.65                         761,143                         18.59                                24.99         0.43                         0.29                        13.81                         9.29                         餐饮旅游

    600256    广汇股份    0.63                         2,687,800                     19.78                                13.87         0.21                         0.13                        9.11                         5.41                         化工

    002097    山河智能    3.30                         1,094,524                     21.70                                105.01         0.61                         0.45                        15.60                         10.20                         机械设备

    600496    长江精工    1.87                         1,385,835                     26.25                                15.74         0.26                         0.19                        8.95                         6.36                         建筑建材

    600467    好当家     1.29                         2,780,000                     28.86                                19.79         0.23                         0.23                        10.09                         9.22                         农林牧渔

    600189    吉林森工    1.25                         2,099,895                     30.17                                12.50         0.21                         0.06                        5.00                         1.44                         农林牧渔

    600109    成都建投    0.91                         249,901                         47.96                                140.55         -0.33                         1.50                        -13.06                         21.54                         金融服务

      数据来源:Wind资讯