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      | C5版:应时数据
    高送转题材有望活跃 94只个股潜力巨大
    涨幅前十
    按行业、概念分资金流向一览
    跌幅前十
    换手前十
    振幅前十
    AB股比价较大个股一览
    部分连续上涨个股一览
    部分连续下跌个股一览
    部分成交量突增个股一览
    部分主动增仓个股一览
    上海证券报系列指数
    三大指数表现
    部分光头阳线、光脚阴线个股一览
    部分远离当日成本个股一览
    更多新闻请登陆中国证券网〉〉〉
     
     
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    高送转题材有望活跃 94只个股潜力巨大
    2008年01月15日      来源:上海证券报      作者:⊙天相投顾 王巍峰
      ⊙天相投顾 王巍峰

      

      今日沪深两市将迎来首份年报,上市公司年报披露工作也正式拉开帷幕,与此同时,二级市场上投资者对上市公司业绩的关注也逐渐进入高潮,招商银行、两面针等上市公司发布业绩超预期增长公告时,都曾一度带动相关板块活跃。年报行情中,投资者在跟踪上市公司业绩成长性,发现业绩超预期增长个股的同时,关注送转题材,寻找有望实施高比例送转的个股无疑也是另一个重要的方面。

      一般而言,未分配利润多、资本公积金丰厚是公司实施高比例送转的基础,因此,每股未分配利润多、每股公积金高的公司实施高比例送转的可能性要相对较大;另一个重要的方面就是公司的盈利状况,盈利能力良好的公司有送股和分红的潜力。基于这些考虑,我们以“每股未分配利润大于1.5元或每股公积金大于2元、2007年前三个季度每股收益在0.4元以上、2007年前三个季度净利润增长率超过50%”为口径,从全部A股当中筛选出了94只个股作为我们跟踪高送配题材重点关注的个股,结合基本面及近期市场表现分析,供投资者参考。

      2007年三季报显示,94只A股中55只个股每股未分配利润在1.5元以上,占比58.5%,其中28只个股每股未分配利润超过2元;94个A股中每股公积金在2元以上的个股有60只,占比68%,其中19只个股每股公积金超过4元;每股未分配利润超过2元同时每股公积在4元以上的公司有6家,分别是中信证券、中国平安、中国船舶、思源电器、荣信股份和马应龙,6家公司中有4家公司对2007年业绩作出了预计且全部预增,预计增长幅度均在50%以上,其中,马应龙为一家医药类上市公司,前12个月滚动市盈率为26.40倍,远低于市场整体水平和行业平均水平。

      数据显示,94只A股主要以医药、有色、房地产开发行业为主,以上三个行业分别有11、10、7家公司入选关注名单,此外,机械、钢铁、化工和金融四个行业也均有5家以上公司进入。11家医药公司个股中,吉林敖东、马应龙、丽珠集团三家公司2007年三季度末每股未分配利润在2.5元以上,以1月11日收盘价计算的前12个月滚动市盈率均在23-26倍之间,低于行业平均水平。贵研铂业、南山铝业两家有色行业个股2007年三季度末每股公积金分别为3.73元和3.25元,其中南山铝业预计公司2007年报净利润将同比去年增长超过500%,全年业绩增速远快于2007年前三个季度230%的增速,进入1月份后该股股价快速上升,截至上周末收盘,股价较1月初大幅上涨了17.50%,但是由于前期下跌较深,1月11日收盘,股价较2007年10月初仍有7.14%的跌幅。

      94只个股中有18只属于中小板公司,由于中小板公司流通股本小,而且部分公司为2007年上市新股,因此这些公司更具有股本扩张的潜力。华峰氨纶、绿大地两只中小板个股2007年三季度末每股未分配利润在2.5元以上,其中绿大地为去年12月份上市新股,思源电气、苏泊尔、荣信股份三家中小板个股2007年三季度末每股公积金在4元以上,荣信股份为去年一季度上市新股。18只中小板个股中,思源电气、华邦制药两家公司预计全年净利润将较去年同期分别增长80-120%和200-250%,全年业绩增幅将高于去年前三个季度的增长幅度。

      沪深交易所发布的上市公司年报预约披露日期显示,94只个股中有赣粤高速、云推股份、南山铝业三家公司将在1月份下旬披露年报,其余大部分公司年报披露将集中在2、3月份进行。

      94只高送转潜力股一览

                         第三季度]                         第三季度]                     (元)[2007                                                         业绩预计情况         [2008/01/01                                

                                                                                                     第三季度]                                                                             -2008/01/11]                        

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                       

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                        

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                       

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                            

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                            

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                        

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

    代码名称每股未分配利润(元)[2007         每股公积金(元)[2007         每股收益                     净利润增长率(%)[2007第三季度]2007年报             涨幅(%)                         2007年报预约披露日期
    600269赣粤高速1.422.410.67253.984.192008-1-19
    600725云维股份0.612.970.45892.04增长>=150%13.772008-1-23
    600219南山铝业1.213.250.850229.71增长>=500%17.502008-1-29
    600331宏达股份2.372.871.26070.742008-2-1
    002172澳洋科技1.223.471.240208.47增长150~200%25.512008-2-4
    600246万通地产0.575.520.4672464.2012.912008-2-5
    600075新疆天业1.580.550.52051.2217.122008-2-15
    002092中泰化学1.982.340.75090.68增长60~90%15.542008-2-16
    000024招商地产1.076.060.70383.23增长100%20.102008-2-19
    002200绿 大 地2.830.520.72077.749.662008-2-19
    000527美的电器1.700.310.790139.16增长100~150%5.092008-2-19
    002032苏 泊 尔1.274.610.54065.71增长60~80%3.322008-2-20
    000528柳    工2.140.940.96062.434.372008-2-20
    000513丽珠集团2.501.551.470303.28增长250~300%-6.192008-2-21
    600383金地集团1.236.610.47050.8917.252008-2-23
    600479千金药业1.322.030.67092.30增长>=50%-9.542008-2-23
    002038双鹭药业1.651.250.749167.20增长150~200%1.422008-2-26
    000960锡业股份1.541.100.845276.73增长150~180%11.722008-2-26
    600596新安股份2.350.601.06250.9711.352008-2-26
    600137ST浪莎-1.972.065.0343627.66增长2.542008-2-27
    002165红 宝 丽1.082.920.790118.70增长80~100%-0.292008-2-28
    600886国投电力0.402.350.52650.38-1.262008-2-28
    600380健康元0.932.181.100558.22盈利-1.762008-2-28
    000616亿城股份1.550.210.590102.8911.282008-2-29
    600586金晶科技1.054.950.688250.550.962008-2-29
    600459贵研铂业1.563.731.100260.55增长200%8.582008-2-29
    002064华峰氨纶3.540.841.530840.52增长500~600%6.512008-2-29
    000755山西三维1.432.800.667176.46-1.532008-3-4
    600048保利地产1.276.550.50083.27增长70~100%17.252008-3-4
    600588用友软件1.053.601.001100.7511.442008-3-5
    600497驰宏锌锗2.982.622.59964.225.282008-3-6
    600282南钢股份1.581.210.790188.66增长>=100%13.162008-3-6

                         第三季度]                         第三季度]                     (元)[2007                                                         业绩预计情况         [2008/01/01                                

                                                                                                     第三季度]                                                                             -2008/01/11]                        

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                       

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                       

                                                                                                                       

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                       

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                       

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                        

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

    代码名称每股未分配利润(元)[2007         每股公积金(元)[2007         每股收益                     净利润增长率(%)[2007第三季度]2007年报             涨幅(%)                         2007年报预约披露日期
    002028思源电气2.068.080.75071.70增长80~120%8.812008-3-8
    600000浦发银行0.992.290.90059.4516.652008-3-8
    600582天地科技1.770.380.54072.547.472008-3-8
    600572康恩贝0.672.580.47088.797.612008-3-11
    000686东北证券1.990.531.8107288.57增长7500%6.412008-3-12
    600785新华百货1.832.060.60058.23-3.332008-3-13
    600519贵州茅台3.491.461.69057.63-6.082008-3-13
    000046泛海建设1.352.580.6501056.25增长150~200%12.532008-3-15
    600585海螺水泥2.372.021.04060.976.342008-3-15
    600100同方股份1.384.360.41292.69增长>=100%-1.482008-3-18
    600150中国船舶2.469.014.410192.4710.332008-3-18
    600558大西洋1.132.700.541110.028.982008-3-18
    000609绵世股份1.710.990.850396.39-0.792008-3-18
    000932华菱管线1.512.100.46375.269.302008-3-18
    600030中信证券2.929.892.520558.22增长>=400%6.122008-3-20
    601318中国平安2.319.741.650145.723.382008-3-20
    000612焦作万方1.530.301.168198.93增长150~200%11.642008-3-20
    600138中青旅1.043.420.40283.40增长>=50%1.202008-3-21
    600993马应龙3.984.182.140141.60增长>=85%0.132008-3-24
    002151北斗星通0.842.590.57058.06增长30~60%2.552008-3-25
    002114罗平锌电1.522.450.81090.86增长30~40%5.262008-3-25
    600026中海发展2.390.651.03171.66增长>=50%13.102008-3-26
    600864哈投股份1.158.601.0161292.89增长>=16600%13.452008-3-27
    600104上海汽车0.863.240.593339.395.362008-3-27
    600062双鹤药业1.581.380.49265.32增长>=50%-7.692008-3-27
    600432吉恩镍业3.861.172.180211.33增长>=200%12.572008-3-27
    600299蓝星新材0.775.290.67097.9110.372008-3-28
    000900现代投资1.973.941.07091.52增长50~100%-0.182008-3-28
    002170芭田股份1.612.250.65050.045.612008-3-28
    600718东软股份1.082.100.460161.28增长150%0.262008-3-28
    002193山东如意2.280.970.40060.035.482008-3-28
    002152广电运通1.543.931.250158.48增长110~140%-5.152008-3-29

                         第三季度]                         第三季度]                     (元)[2007                                                         业绩预计情况         [2008/01/01                                

                                                                                                     第三季度]                                                                             -2008/01/11]                        

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                        

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                       

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                   

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                       

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                        

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                                           

                                                                                                                                          

    代码名称每股未分配利润(元)[2007         每股公积金(元)[2007         每股收益                     净利润增长率(%)[2007第三季度]2007年报             涨幅(%)                         2007年报预约披露日期
    600547山东黄金1.531.810.95086.9823.432008-3-29
    600126杭钢股份2.491.140.46071.6210.032008-3-29
    600058五矿发展2.091.030.76169.235.432008-3-29
    600600青岛啤酒0.762.180.53260.813.092008-3-31
    002051中工国际0.732.280.56165.60增长<30%0.952008-4-3
    002123荣信股份2.224.261.01078.93增长50~80%-4.312008-4-9
    600900长江电力0.692.470.51883.70增长>=50%-1.442008-4-10
    600153建发股份1.004.220.73071.067.332008-4-11
    000825太钢不锈1.951.431.036158.75增长50~100%10.622008-4-11
    000939凯迪电力2.500.261.090300.12增长>=168.29%2.192008-4-11
    000717韶钢松山1.731.640.47568.36增长50~100%9.362008-4-16
    600827友谊股份0.904.570.557134.22增长>=80%0.222008-4-17
    002173山 下 湖2.313.730.59454.05增长30~60%4.732008-4-18
    000951中国重汽2.052.481.56951.92增长150~200%6.792008-4-18
    002157正邦科技1.062.360.40051.61增长<30%0.912008-4-18
    002004华邦制药1.961.090.970201.72增长200~250%-2.102008-4-18
    000651格力电器1.710.220.94758.21增长50~100%9.422008-4-18
    000623吉林敖东4.240.572.914466.81增长350~450%8.112008-4-19
    600739辽宁成大2.340.131.980410.837.052008-4-19
    000541佛山照明1.192.360.820130.674.992008-4-21
    600177雅戈尔1.254.360.755220.18增长>=140%6.562008-4-22
    000157中联重科2.580.321.192136.35增长100~150%-1.912008-4-22
    600456宝钛股份1.672.240.95055.299.082008-4-23
    000338潍柴动力5.471.702.780124.5712.072008-4-24
    600031三一重工2.240.871.390157.82增长>=100%1.652008-4-25
    600249两面针1.8810.382.0823109.03增长>=1860%18.342008-4-26
    600970中材国际1.442.480.87092.73-4.552008-4-26
    600643S爱建-2.062.480.723280.772008-4-29
    600511国药股份1.661.860.81058.001.282008-4-30
    600285羚锐股份1.003.180.470305.41-1.272008-4-30

      数据来源:天相投顾