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      2008 年 2 月 24 日
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    5版:大鳄猎物·资金热钱流向
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      | 5版:大鳄猎物·资金热钱流向
    机构转战中小市值股
    长江证券研究报告认为:今年是事件性投资的好机会
    广发证券研究报告认为:3月行情面临阶段性方向选择
    安信证券研究报告认为:次贷危机对A 股影响即将过去
    商业零售股:回调是介入良机
    国泰君安研究报告认为:4300点附近已成政策底
    低价题材股:反复走强可期
    美的电器(000527):崛起的白色家电新龙头
    一周强势股排行榜
    中期趋势仍可谨慎乐观 波段投资应对筑底行情
    亚盛集团:强势特征明显
    银河证券研究报告认为:估值中枢可能继续下移
    敦煌种业:机构持续增仓
    新农开发:有望突破高点
    强者恒强·追涨者乐园
    一周概念板块相关数据一览表
    资金做空权重股
    后市仍需冷静对待
    更多新闻请登陆中国证券网〉〉〉
     
     
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    美的电器(000527):崛起的白色家电新龙头
    2008年02月24日      来源:上海证券报      作者:
      通胀和“家电下乡”已经促使家电行情进入了新一轮的景气周期,家电行业经过前几年的洗牌后也已形成了优劣分化和赢家通吃的格局,美的电器正是在前几年行业洗牌过程中崛起的行业新巨头。

      通过美的电器正在进行的一系列资本运作举措来看,美的电器的扩张之路远未尽,并且正在确立其在白色家电行业的龙头老大地位。优异的经营绩效和不断强化的行业龙头地位,是诸多机构投资者高度看好该公司的核心因素。

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

                                                                                                                                                                                                     

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

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    评级机构评级日期股票评级投资要点EPS (元)估值

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             (元)

    07年 08年09年
    申银万国2008/02/19买入建议投资者分享全流通之下股东利益一致驱动后公司价值的快速增长,并关注对其小天鹅的收购以及增发后对小家电业务的整合。0.95 1.432.0858.00
    中信证券2008/02/19买入增发募集资金投资项目计划09年上半年投产,公司有能力消化新增股本对利润的摊薄。0.95 1.331.7460.00
    国信证券2008/02/19推荐公司一向采取自建和并购相结合的发展策略,08年将在置入华凌、美通和荣事达三家公司基础上进一步推进白电资产的整合。正在进行的重大收购将推动公司冰洗产品产业快速发展。         1.331.7455.00

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             0.95

    安信证券2008/02/19增持公开增发主要投入冰洗和空调项目,投产后将新增冰箱压缩机产能500万台,环保节能大冰箱450万台,洗衣机产能580万台,家用空调产能950万台,新增中央空调年产值18亿元。         1.441.8655.00
    光大证券2008/02/19买入公司此次增发募投项目产能增加幅度极大,对国内及全球市场容量将提出极大挑战,按内部预测将形成9-10亿元净利润。         1.491.8860.00
    中投证券2008/02/19强烈推荐公司一系列资本运作接踵而至:(1)受让大股东持有的广州华凌等四家公司股权;(2)推出新的股权激励方案。(3)计划收购合肥荣事达等三家公司各25%股权;(4)进行公开增发;(5)极有可能收购小天鹅股权。         1.422.06

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             0.95

    天相投顾2008/02/19增持预计08年公司将达到年产压缩机1,500万台、家用空调1,800万台、洗衣机650万台、电冰箱600万台、、中央空调产值60亿的产能规模。0.95 1.271.61

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             ----

    东海证券2008/02/19增持增发募集资金主要用于现有业务的产能扩张和技术改造,为公司长期增长奠定坚实基础。0.95 1.322.0852.80
    华泰证券2008/02/19观望家电行业出现了快速的恢复性增长,估计这种发展势头仍有望延续,作为行业龙头,公司应能抓住这个发展机遇,再上一个台阶。0.95 1.041.24

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    广发证券2008/02/20持有公司将融资35亿元支撑未来3-5年扩产和企业并购的需求,根据原有业务和募投项目,预计未来三年公司净利润年复合增长率38.97%。0.95 1.492.0547.68
    业绩预测与估值的均值(元)0.95 1.3561.83156.81
    目前股价的动态市盈率(倍)49.1534.4325.50
    风 险 提 示
    (1)受外需影响,出口大幅度下降;(2)人民币升值加快背景下的汇兑损益;(3)资产整合带来多品牌营销的调整、营销网络的整合等带来费用增加。