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      | C5版:应时数据
    137只个股去年盈利同比下降
    涨幅前十
    按行业、概念分资金流向一览
    跌幅前十
    换手前十
    振幅前十
    AB股比价较大个股一览
    部分连续上涨个股一览
    部分连续下跌个股一览
    部分成交量突增个股一览
    部分主动增仓个股一览
    申万风格指数表现
    三大指数表现
    部分光头阳线、光脚阴线个股一览
    部分远离当日成本个股一览
    更多新闻请登陆中国证券网〉〉〉
     
     
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    137只个股去年盈利同比下降
    2008年04月09日      来源:上海证券报      作者:⊙华泰证券研究所 郝国梅
      ⊙华泰证券研究所 郝国梅

      

      截至目前,披露年报上市公司数已超过沪深两市全部公司总数的一半,尽管整体业绩相比2006年有大幅提升,但是仍有137家公司盈利同比出现下降。在2007年上市公司充分分享中国经济高速增长的大背景下,这些公司业绩却出现下滑值得深思。

      多数公司盈利能力下降幅度不大

      统计显示,在137家盈利能力同比下降的公司中,有20家公司净利润同比下降超过100%以上,其中复牌后涨幅惊人的ST盐湖,去年每股亏损0.85元,不过注入钾肥资产以后,公司盈利前景当然是今非昔比。而诸如飞亚股份、ST科苑等个股因2006年盈利基数较低,盈利下降幅度也是惊人。

      在137家公司中有半数公司盈利能力下降幅度不大,业绩下降不到30%以上公司68家。业绩下降不到10%公司27家,其中,深圳惠程、宝钢股份、中国石油、东方电气等均因2006年基数过大而榜上有名,尽管如此,几家公司2007年每股收益均超过0.70元。

      股权激励成新因素

      在引起盈利水平下降的诸多因素中,股权激励引人瞩目。以往大家多注意到股权激励对上市公司的长期利多因素,但是随着年报的披露,股权激励成本对短期业绩的杀伤力终于为投资者所见识。伊利股份的例子尤为典型。该公司作为市场公认的食品饮料行业优质公司,2006年公司实现每股收益0.67元。而2007年公司年报显示,公司竟每股亏损0.22元。1月31日,伊利股份曾发布公告,称预计公司2007年公司净利润将出现亏损,当日该股放量跌停。一个前三季还实现净利润3.3亿元的蓝筹公司为何一夜之间出现巨亏?3月11日公司披露年报后迷雾彻底揭开,原来是股权激励惹的祸。由于该公司大幅计提了5.51亿元的股权激励费用,导致其2007年度出现了1.15亿元的亏损。此前,市场对伊利的股权激励预期是8年均匀行权,但公司却在2年内集中计提了全部行权费用,伊利股份董秘办相关人士对此也作出解释,认为计入成本的期权公允价值只是一个会计符号,实际上并不影响现金流、不影响股东权益,不影响公司价值,更不影响公司实际经营业绩,对股东、对公司没有任何损失。

      业内人士认为,伊利股份这样处理是为合法规避税负。根据新企业会计准则,实施股权激励的费用计入成本费用可以抵补税收。2007年伊利的所得税率为33%,2008年为25%,提前摊销公司缴纳的所得税将大幅减少。但是伊利股份的做法合法但不合情,显然是利用了行权条件的漏洞,巨额计提股权激励费用造成了其2007年度的巨额亏损,让长期看好公司发展前景的投资者心灰意冷。

      值得关注的是海南海药也如出一辙,尽管其仍未公布年报,但是3月6日公司已公告因公司实施股票期权激励计划2007年预亏约5000万元,成为继伊利股份之后第二家因股权激励导致亏损的上市公司。海南海药的预亏公告也重挫了其二级市场股价。

      三大行业盈利下降公司数量较多

      在137家盈利能力同比下降的公司中,化工、纺织、医药生物等行业数量比较多。其中化工行业公司占据17家,纺织行业占据12家。化工行业因为子行业众多,因此行业内公司表现也是良莠不齐。整体而言,化工行业普遍面临着原、燃料价格上涨对生产成本的压力,但是不同的子行业对于成本压力的转嫁能力是不一样的,我们看到,化纤、部分化学原料药等子行业公司去年产品价格的上涨速度远远快于成本上涨速度,这种趋势在一些子行业今年仍然保持延续,比如,新和成最近公布的第一季度业绩预告称:主导产品维生素E、维生素A、维生素H 等受市场供需变化影响,出现了较大幅度的涨价,有效抵消了由于原材料上涨等不利因素的影响。业绩将明显增长。但是另外一些如炼油、家化、农化等子行业公司由于转嫁成本压力的能力不强,毛利率下降、盈利滑坡也就在情理之中了。对于纺织行业来说人民币加速升值、劳动力成本及原料成本上升造成了这些公司业绩滑坡,如何实现产业升级、提高产品的附加值、利用多种手段减少汇兑损失成为他们的重中之重。

      值得注意的是,一些2006年财报靓丽的公司如江西铜业、中国铝业、株冶集团等,去年业绩也出现滑坡势头,个别有色类公司甚至出现去年第四季度一个季度的亏损,就吃掉前三个季度大部分利润的情况,充分暴露了这类绩优公司的风险。

      去年盈利同比下降的个股一览

                            同比增长率                                                                         每股收益                            

                            [2007年度]                                                                         [2006年度](元)                

                            (%)                                                                                                                

                                                                      

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                      

                                                                      

                                                                          

                                                                          

                                                                      

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

    证券代码证券简称归属母公司股东的净利润                             基本每股收益[2007年度](元)基本                         所属行业
    600506香梨股份-25587.45-0.200-0.001农林牧渔
    002042飞亚股份-7695.87-0.5800.080纺织服装
    000578ST盐湖-6997.69-0.8460.012综合
    600076ST华光-3331.15-0.4200.010信息设备
    000979ST科苑-2226.60-1.9200.090化工
    000710天兴仪表-1241.47-0.0840.007交运设备
    600773ST雅砻-1236.01-0.2260.025医药生物
    600654飞乐股份-1167.48-0.2800.030电子元器件
    600448华纺股份-780.99-0.2400.040纺织服装
    600777新潮实业-552.00-0.1800.060综合
    000068赛格三星-482.08-0.2440.060电子元器件
    000065北方国际-429.59-0.2900.090建筑建材
    002002江苏琼花-358.94-0.2100.110化工
    600435中兵光电-357.90-0.2600.100机械设备
    600633白猫股份-329.08-0.0600.030化工
    600604ST二纺机-324.09-0.490-0.120机械设备
    000750SST集琦-254.26-0.147-0.041金融服务
    600483福建南纺-212.77-0.0300.030纺织服装
    600887伊利股份-179.05-0.2200.280食品饮料
    600792*ST马龙-172.11-1.080-0.390化工
    000975科学城-96.120.0030.080房地产
    000531穗恒运A-93.140.0400.530公用事业
    600826兰生股份-89.810.0500.500商业贸易
    600530交大昂立-87.490.0200.170医药生物
    600855航天长峰-86.680.0110.079信息设备
    600961株冶集团-81.000.1600.980有色金属
    600726华电能源-71.700.0400.140公用事业
    600732上海新梅-71.490.0210.073房地产
    600460士兰微-69.950.0500.180电子元器件
    000650仁和药业-69.940.1800.590医药生物
    000790华神集团-66.980.0120.036医药生物
    000639金德发展-59.630.0450.112建筑建材
    000929兰州黄河-59.300.0450.118食品饮料
    600051宁波联合-57.430.2700.630综合
    600768宁波富邦-56.250.0300.070有色金属

                            同比增长率                                                                         每股收益                            

                            [2007年度]                                                                         [2006年度](元)                

                            (%)                                                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                         

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

    证券代码证券简称归属母公司股东的净利润                             基本每股收益[2007年度](元)基本                         所属行业
    600767运盛实业-54.520.0500.110房地产
    000502绿景地产-54.330.0240.062房地产
    000622S*ST恒立-53.680.0240.052机械设备
    000551创元科技-53.120.2700.570公用事业
    000546光华控股-52.410.0620.131房地产
    000852江钻股份-51.130.3000.620机械设备
    000791西北化工-49.560.0920.183化工
    600648外高桥-48.620.0100.030房地产
    600824益民商业-48.140.1540.323商业贸易
    600567山鹰纸业-48.020.1400.280轻工制造
    000407胜利股份-46.810.0600.130化工
    600803威远生化-46.240.0700.130医药生物
    002035华帝股份-46.170.0900.210家用电器
    600823世茂股份-44.690.1400.250房地产
    600151航天机电-43.580.0720.128综合
    600502安徽水利-43.480.1400.250建筑建材
    600546中油化建-43.220.0230.041建筑建材
    000739普洛康裕-42.900.1250.244医药生物
    600190锦州港-42.100.0580.100交通运输
    600488天药股份-41.930.0520.099医药生物
    600379宝光股份-40.960.0400.070机械设备
    002136安纳达-40.250.1800.360有色金属
    600319亚星化学-38.770.0640.104化工
    000515攀渝钛业-37.690.0600.100化工
    600793*ST宜纸-36.61-0.840-0.620轻工制造
    600012皖通高速-36.540.3120.492交通运输
    002057中钢天源-36.190.1400.270有色金属
    000525红太阳-35.560.0670.105化工
    000911南宁糖业-34.680.4900.760食品饮料
    600738兰州民百-34.430.0590.090商业贸易
    000683远兴能源-33.970.2400.370化工
    000809中汇医药-33.230.0520.077医药生物
    600853龙建股份-32.460.0220.028建筑建材
    600079人福科技-32.400.1800.290医药生物
    000023深天地A-28.720.1450.204建筑建材

                            同比增长率                                                                         每股收益                            

                            [2007年度]                                                                         [2006年度](元)                

                            (%)                                                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

                                                                                

    证券代码证券简称归属母公司股东的净利润                             基本每股收益[2007年度](元)基本                         所属行业
    000966长源电力-28.020.1100.160公用事业
    600883博闻科技-27.420.0800.110综合
    600805悦达投资-27.200.0700.090综合
    600171上海贝岭-26.440.0380.051电子元器件
    000839中信国安-26.400.4170.620信息服务
    600683银泰股份-26.170.0700.120商业贸易
    600230沧州大化-25.720.3040.409化工
    000705浙江震元-24.880.0620.082医药生物
    000802北京旅游-24.630.0810.108餐饮旅游
    600370三房巷-23.960.1910.266纺织服装
    600493凤竹纺织-23.570.2180.285纺织服装
    600306商业城-23.450.0270.036商业贸易
    600241辽宁时代-23.390.1200.160商业贸易
    002108沧州明珠-23.310.3500.600化工
    000619海螺型材-22.270.3030.390建筑建材
    600720祁连山-22.120.0140.018建筑建材
    600189吉林森工-19.780.1600.190农林牧渔
    600367红星发展-19.540.2000.250化工
    002084海鸥卫浴-18.750.5370.860轻工制造
    600719大连热电-17.260.0950.115公用事业
    600575芜湖港-17.000.1600.190交通运输
    600549厦门钨业-16.850.3850.502有色金属
    002182云海金属-16.290.4000.570有色金属
    600510黑牡丹-16.130.1900.230纺织服装
    000301丝绸股份-15.570.1190.158纺织服装
    002162斯米克-15.450.1800.240建筑建材
    002156通富微电-15.210.3400.450电子元器件
    002079苏州固锝-15.170.1900.310电子元器件
    000617石油济柴-15.050.4100.530机械设备
    600535天士力-14.920.3700.460医药生物
    600330天通股份-13.860.1900.220有色金属
    601600中国铝业-13.650.8201.040有色金属
    600362江西铜业-12.891.4001.620有色金属
    600649原水股份-12.660.2770.317公用事业
    600416湘电股份-12.350.3100.420机械设备

                            同比增长率                                                                         每股收益                            

                            [2007年度]                                                                         [2006年度](元)                

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    证券代码证券简称归属母公司股东的净利润                             基本每股收益[2007年度](元)基本                         所属行业
    002070众和股份-11.720.3620.502纺织服装
    600438通威股份-11.190.1890.213农林牧渔
    600869三普药业-11.130.0500.060医药生物
    002027七喜控股-10.900.1700.190信息设备
    000400许继电气-10.610.3070.343机械设备
    600397安源股份-9.340.0600.060采掘
    000637茂化实华-8.390.2800.310化工
    002144宏达经编-8.360.2300.280纺织服装
    002168深圳惠程-8.040.9501.122机械设备
    600055万东医疗-7.290.1900.210医药生物
    600292九龙电力-7.270.1800.190公用事业
    002189利达光电-7.220.2100.240电子元器件
    000793华闻传媒-6.960.0960.104信息服务
    002072德棉股份-6.140.1600.250纺织服装
    600356恒丰纸业-6.100.2300.290轻工制造
    002037久联发展-6.000.3400.360化工
    002166莱茵生物-5.820.4000.460医药生物
    600119长江投资-5.730.0400.040综合
    002044江苏三友-4.670.2000.210纺织服装
    600875东方电气-3.902.4402.530机械设备
    601588北辰实业-3.240.1000.160房地产
    600019宝钢股份-2.750.7300.750黑色金属
    600301南化股份-1.610.3280.379化工
    600310桂东电力-1.390.5900.600公用事业
    601857中国石油-1.200.7500.760采掘
    000158常山股份-1.100.1200.120纺织服装
    600971恒源煤电-1.101.0701.080采掘
    600017日照港-1.070.2800.400交通运输
    600990四创电子-1.000.3330.336交运设备
    000155川化股份-0.940.2900.290化工
    600172黄河旋风-0.770.2130.214机械设备
    002101广东鸿图-0.130.5100.690机械设备

      (本表数据截至2008年4月4日)