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      2008 年 8 月 24 日
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    5版:大智慧大鳄猎物
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      | 5版:大智慧大鳄猎物
    大资金逢高减仓 小行情快进快出
    涨跌无序
    机构看淡后市
    东方证券研究报告认为:非理性下跌终将得到修正
    国信证券研究报告认为:期待后奥运时期的行情转机
    水务板块 水价改革带来机会
    银行股:三大优势显现价值
    一周概念板块相关数据一览表
    九阳股份(002242):弱市中的高成长公司
    强股上通道
    中金公司研究报告认为:关注资产重组和整体上市预期
    国泰君安研究报告认为:以时间换空间的两种可能路径
    银河证券研究报告认为:资金供求是影响A股走势关键因素
    在农林概念中挖掘潜力股
    一周强势股排行榜
    更多新闻请登陆中国证券网〉〉〉
     
     
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    九阳股份(002242):弱市中的高成长公司
    2008年08月24日      来源:上海证券报      作者:
      在小家电行业,九阳股份属于后起之秀。因此,通过系列创新的产品和创新的经销模式获得令人炫目的高成长性,是典型的处于成长和壮大初期的小公司。因此,获得了诸多专业机构的较高评价。通过机构深度研究报告来看,九阳股份的高成长在两年之内继续保持应该还是有保障的,这将注定着该股在其成长和壮大周期内将会保持着小盘、含权、高成长股的行情特征,从而无论市场强弱都值得关注。

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

    评级机构评级日期股票评级投资要点EPS预测(元)估值

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     (元)

    08年09年10年
    海通证券2008/08/20买入在基本生产要素价格大幅上涨的背景下,公司消化成本上涨的压力,维持高毛利率水平,显示出公司较强的议价能力;豆浆机系列产品收入占比较去年同期提高了5个百分点,帮助公司在收入大幅增长的同时维持毛利率的稳定。2.163.72----54.00
    中投证券2008/08/20推荐公司在CCTV 黄金时段广告成为行业发展的催化剂,延续目前的高增长没有问题。08 年以来,天然气、煤炭的价格上涨快于电价的增长,促进了电磁炉等小家电的增长。2.012.623.1550.00
    招商证券2008/08/20强烈推荐1-6月公司营业收入、净利润分别同比增长130%和111%。公司加强了对上下游的支持力度,适度允许下游经销商部分以银行承兑票据结算和提高对供应商现金结算的比例,此举将使渠道商与供应商提高对公司的忠诚度,正是公司快速提高市场份额的机会。2.052.463.2351.30~

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     57.40

    兴业证券2008/08/20-----公司主力产品豆浆机仍保持快速成长态势,销售收入同比增长149%,毛利率保持在40%以上,显示出公司在此块业务上强大的竞争力。1.782.193.07-----
    国信证券2008/08/20推荐7月份公司召开08年精品发布会,各类新品很快会在全国铺开销售,总的新品数量达到60 多种。08年1-6月公司电磁炉收入同比增长87%,其他小家电产品同比增长157%,均大幅度超出行业平均水平。2.223.044.0740.00~

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     45.00

    东方证券2008/08/20增持公司今年高增长的态势基本明确,明年也应该无忧,之后则要看新产品的市场开拓情况。由于公司外资股权占比变化的特殊性,很可能仍然能享受原来的优惠税率水平。1.852.563.38-----
    银河证券2008/08/20推荐公司上半年实现了超预期的增长,巩固了核心产品的竞争优势,随着加大对市场的拓展和募投项目的建成投产,公司有望在未来2年继续保持较高的增长速度。1.962.413.18-----
    业绩预测与估值的均值(元)2.004 2.7143.34750.21
    目前股价的动态市盈率(倍)17.54 12.9610.50
    风 险 提 示
    (1)公司能否持续获得高于行业增速的高增长、通胀压力下高毛利率能否保持存在一定风险;(2)如果市场流动性继续收紧,公司现金流可能将受到负面冲击,从而影响到公司的生产经营活动;(3)网下配售股1340万股将于2008年8月28日上市交易。